Covid-19

Following the campus guidelines for Coronavirus all UC Davis classes, lectures, seminars, labs and discussion sections will move to virtual instruction and remain virtual through the end of Summer Session 2021, including final exams. Given this, the department’s administrative functions have moved to remote work conditions. To contact staff members of the department via e-mail or phone, please go to our administrative staff contact page.  We anticipate a return to campus for Fall 2021.

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Oscar Jorda research on probability of double dip recession widely cited in the media.

A Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Economic Letter by Oscar Jorda, joint work with graduate student Travis Berge, was widely cited in the media (Reuters, Bloomberg, Wall Street Journal, ….) following its release August 9. The research uses an improved forecasting method to forecast that the probability of another recession by June 2012 is between 0.2 and 0.5. See paper.